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Author Topic:   Speculation On Fuel Price Which Will Cause U.S. Citizens To Have Enough
Russ 13 posted 04-12-2011 10:16 PM ET (US)   Profile for Russ 13   Send Email to Russ 13  
How high will fuel prices rise, before U.S. citizens have had enough?
This use of foreign oil is affecting my favorite hobby - boating.
Suggestions:
flippa posted 04-12-2011 10:44 PM ET (US)     Profile for flippa  Send Email to flippa     
Buy a sailboat?
Russ 13 posted 04-12-2011 11:14 PM ET (US)     Profile for Russ 13  Send Email to Russ 13     
While I agree sailing is a hoot. I used to race Prindel Cats off Ft. Lauderdale beach.
Powerboating is my REAL love...hard to fish off a sailboat.
Jeff posted 04-12-2011 11:37 PM ET (US)     Profile for Jeff  Send Email to Jeff     
Suggestion:

Clear the breakwater, push the throttle(s) down, feel the wind in your face and smile. I can not think of a better way to forget about all of your worries (high fuel costs included) other than the open water.

I all comes down to priorities I guess. Those who fool themselves into thinking the boating can be a cheap endeavor are soon to be bitterly disappointed and miss the point of boating.

Am I glad to only be fueling up a 17 Newport these days instead of a 22 Outrage? Sure I am. Is the Newport less of a big water boat than the Outrage? Sure it is but, at least I am still on the water. For me I see a $100 fill up (@ over $4 per gallon) to be money well spent to keep me centered and to spend quality time with my family. Some people spend a helluva lot more than $100 for an hour with a therapist to keep them centered.

power2boat posted 04-13-2011 12:58 AM ET (US)     Profile for power2boat  Send Email to power2boat     
Jeff, filling up my 22' Outrage,with twins, makes me happy I'm not filling up a 30' Sport fisher with twins.
martyn1075 posted 04-13-2011 01:11 AM ET (US)     Profile for martyn1075  Send Email to martyn1075     
Jeff good point! I like your way of thinking. I am much the same way, we are likely going to spend our money somewhere whatever that passion is. For some its golfing, or ski pass or trip to hawaii every year. For a select few its all of the above. There really isn't too much one can do about the gas prices they got a firm grip on our seeds.

WT posted 04-13-2011 01:12 AM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
I love my 6 mpg 170 Montauk. :-)

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v665/warrent/DSC_6122-1.jpg

Warren

Russ 13 posted 04-13-2011 02:44 AM ET (US)     Profile for Russ 13  Send Email to Russ 13     
Well you can write your representative and express your
dissatisfaction with the rising fuel prices & our lack of drilling in the Gulf Of Mexico. And drop your letter in the mail, as you head out to enjoy your boat!
Boating the ultimate therapy!
deepwater posted 04-13-2011 03:16 AM ET (US)     Profile for deepwater  Send Email to deepwater     
If everyone stopped wasting fuel on land,,tune up your car fill your tires make one trip count for many,,Than the one or 3 outings we take this year should not hurt our wallets too bad,,The more gas in the land storage tanks the less room for oil,,the less room for oil on land the more ships are full at anchor,,Prices will come down
an86carrera posted 04-13-2011 06:08 AM ET (US)     Profile for an86carrera  Send Email to an86carrera     
Why don't we stop the speculation and only allow futures to be sold to users? It used to be that way.

Len

cohasett73 posted 04-13-2011 08:25 AM ET (US)     Profile for cohasett73  Send Email to cohasett73     
Good point Len. Similarly in 2006 somebody figured out how to price diesel by the BTU. At least in the county I live in I can still feed my Whaler ethanol free gas.
Tom from Rubicon, Wi
Mike D1 posted 04-13-2011 09:55 AM ET (US)     Profile for Mike D1  Send Email to Mike D1     
It's a lot less costly to run my Edgewater 155cc w/ 90hp Yammie than my 38' Carver w/ twin 454 Crusaders. I plan on enjoying them both a LOT this summer, regardless of fuel prices. I do suspect that over the coming years prices will simply continue to rise. It might not be too far in the future that we'll be talking about the $4 gallon prices with longing . . .
nats posted 04-13-2011 09:56 AM ET (US)     Profile for nats  Send Email to nats     
Get that crew out of the White House. And start drilling.
frontier posted 04-13-2011 10:10 AM ET (US)     Profile for frontier  Send Email to frontier     
Remember one of Obama's campaign promises was to raise the price of gas to promote his 'green jobs' policy.

From that failed policy, we have LESS jobs and sky high gas prices.

Is it 2012 yet?

tjxtreme posted 04-13-2011 10:23 AM ET (US)     Profile for tjxtreme    
The only reason drilling here MIGHT be cheaper, is that it is heavily subsidized by tax cuts, incentives, and federal grants (ahem, deficit, ahem, taxes)... but I don't think anyone that is whining for increasing domestic production realizes that.

Oh wait, domestic production has been increasing for the first time since the early 80s. Not under Reagan, Clinton, or Bush, but our current president! Yet somehow he doesn't get credit for that either.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MCRFPUS1& f=A

lizard posted 04-13-2011 11:35 AM ET (US)     Profile for lizard  Send Email to lizard     
One of the unfortunate things about slipping a boat is that you are forced to fuel at marine pumps. I put about a half a tank (around 32 gallons) in last week and it was $158. The price at the pump was $5.45. We are also getting ethanol in our fuel, for the first time.

Drilling here is not the solution, alternatives are.

an86carrera posted 04-13-2011 11:36 AM ET (US)     Profile for an86carrera  Send Email to an86carrera     
TJ, I guess that is just mis-stated information on Fox News. They wouldn't lie just to hate would they?

Len

gnr posted 04-13-2011 12:02 PM ET (US)     Profile for gnr    
Drilling here while exploring viable alternatives is the answer.

Viable being the key word.

Binkster posted 04-13-2011 12:24 PM ET (US)     Profile for Binkster  Send Email to Binkster     
Long live the 13 foot Whaler powered by a four stroker. Last weekend I used about a gallon on the Homosassa get together. My tow car (Pontiac Vibe) gets 29mpg when towing the Whaler, 34 when not. Many times I empty the boats 6 gallon tank into my car when the gas start to turn yellow and buy fresh gas for the boat.
My antique runabout powered by `61 Evinrude Starflite 75hp V4 will burn 3 gallons in 15 minutes just running it at fast idle on the hose. Gas was cheap in `61 though, and no one cared back then.

Hope this thread doesn't get into a political debate.

martyn1075 posted 04-13-2011 12:27 PM ET (US)     Profile for martyn1075  Send Email to martyn1075     
Does anyone here know the actual usage of gas by boaters in North America. I am mostly talking about the recreation boaters not so much the large commercial based users. It might be interesting my feeling is that although we are users of gas and I guess are contributing to the gas prices going up but by how much? For most people, boating is quite seasonal limited to a few months a year and the percentage of people with boats either in their garage or moored in a marina must be quite low in comparison to the general public using gas for cars, buildings, and business etc.. Also I cant help but notice out of the 1200 boats in our marina 1-5 marinas in our area how many are sailboats and the others that just sit all year with no use anyways. I am thinking we should be given a better rate at the marina pump or a discount tax credit whatever rather than an increase for overall usage.

Martyn

Plotman posted 04-13-2011 12:33 PM ET (US)     Profile for Plotman  Send Email to Plotman     
I love how guys who are paying $5k for a slip up here for 3 months of decent boating weather complain about gas prices - and use it as an excuse to not take the boat out.

I'd have to run 100 hours wide open to spend that much in fuel in a season, closer to 200 hours at cruise.

So I keep my boat on a trailer and don't worry about gas prices. And that is a 22 outrage with thirsty 1991 twins. If I get 80 hours, I feel like I've used the boat a lot.

daveweight posted 04-13-2011 01:03 PM ET (US)     Profile for daveweight  Send Email to daveweight     
Seriousl thinking of converting my Chrysler V8 5.2 litre in my Owens Sea skiff to run on Liquid Propane Gas,
Dave Weight
phillnjack posted 04-13-2011 01:04 PM ET (US)     Profile for phillnjack  Send Email to phillnjack     
I cant believe you guys in the states are moaning about high fuel prices.
Here in the uk we pay £1.40 per litre for fuel, thats about 2 usa dollars per litre or around 8 dollars per us gallon.
We have had fuel marches and all sorts of arguments with our governements ,but the price of fuel will definitely go a lot higher over the next few years.
I think it will double within 5 or 6 years for sure, there is nothing we can do about it if we keep on using the stuff.
We need to find alternative power, but something tells me that if we do then that will also be shy high price due to tax.
What we need is to find something to run our existing engines on that is very low cost.
I wish i had the answer

phill

Tom W Clark posted 04-13-2011 01:19 PM ET (US)     Profile for Tom W Clark  Send Email to Tom W Clark     
It's just the price of having fun.

We had friends staying with us last week. They are from England (Hove) and were mocking me for remarking about how much I paid to fill my truck last week. They said gas is now about $10 per gallon where they live.

JMARTIN posted 04-13-2011 02:24 PM ET (US)     Profile for JMARTIN  Send Email to JMARTIN     
How soon we forget, it's been higher.

June 19, 2008 we were selling 87 octane for 4.45

Six month later 12/17/08 we were selling for 1.75

I think Bush said we were going to drill more. I do not know if that actually happened, but did just the possibility of drilling more make the speculators nervous?

John

pcrussell50 posted 04-13-2011 02:37 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
Lizard sez:
quote:
Drilling here is not the solution, alternatives are.

Absolutely agree 100%.

Eh, what alternatives are there that don't cost more than you get out of them? Gates and Buffet combined will be chump change compared to the riches going the cat who comes up with an "alternative" that doesn't cost more than you get out of it. I wouldn't mind too bad if that were me.

-Peter

pcrussell50 posted 04-13-2011 02:54 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
quote:
I think Bush said we were going to drill more. I do not know if that actually happened, but did just the possibility of drilling more make the speculators nervous?

It did not happen, but that is a GREAT example of the speculative nature of gas prices. All Bush had to do was _threaten_ to drill in ANWR, and the speculators freaked out and started dumping their shares.

-Peter

Russ 13 posted 04-13-2011 03:19 PM ET (US)     Profile for Russ 13  Send Email to Russ 13     
TJ we are not drilling in the Gulf Of Mexico, and that drilling is NOT subsidized.
Producing our own oil & American jobs, is the sure way to cheaper fuel costs for the American consumer.
* Look at the cost of fuel in the U.K.--purchased from foreign countries.
If you want to look at subsidized fuel, we gave millions
to Brazil, to help them drill for oil!
Ethanol & other "green" tech. will NOT lower our fuel prices....and they ARE highly subsidized. WAKE UP:)
Waiting on 2012!!
tjxtreme posted 04-13-2011 03:42 PM ET (US)     Profile for tjxtreme    
Russ- Um... I'd suggest checking where your information is coming from.
These are facts: we are drilling in the GOM. Huge tax breaks, incentives and federal grants support GOM drilling.

We are so addicted to energy that it is all subsidized- corn, petroleum...

a recent article explaining recent gov't incentives in the GOM
http://articles.latimes.com/2010/may/25/nation/ la-na-
oil-spill-subsidies-20100525

Binkster posted 04-13-2011 05:21 PM ET (US)     Profile for Binkster  Send Email to Binkster     
Peter
riches going the cat who comes up with an "alternative" that doesn't cost more than you get out of it.

I have been seriously thinking about this lately, I`ll see what I can com up with. I can use some extra cash.

alfred posted 04-13-2011 05:25 PM ET (US)     Profile for alfred  Send Email to alfred     
Don't know what you folks are grumbling about. It takes $353.00 to fill my 190 Outrage here in Australia. I feel the pain with every fill, but am relieved every time I'm out on the water.

Leaving in a few hours to burn nearly an entire tank of gas - it's going to be a good long day on the water.

elaelap posted 04-13-2011 06:01 PM ET (US)     Profile for elaelap  Send Email to elaelap     
From the Dow Jones Newswire:

"HOUSTON (Dow Jones)--Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) said Monday its fourth-quarter earnings [through Jan 2010] surged 53% on higher oil prices and the return to profitability of its refining arm, signs that the Texas oil giant is reaping the benefits of a healing world economy.

The energy sector's profits seem to be rapidly recovering from the deep gash left by the recession, and seem poised for a return to the boom days that preceded the financial collapse in 2008. On Monday, Brent crude futures hit the $100-per-barrel mark for the first time in more than two years. Brent is the benchmark crude for much of Europe and Asia.

Exxon's quarterly results follow last week's reports of soaring profits by fellow oil giants Chevron Corp. (CVX) and ConocoPhillips (COP). Oilfield service companies like Schlumberger Ltd. (SLB) and Baker Hughes Inc. (BHI) also posted significant earnings gains, a sign that energy producers have a rosy view of the future and are performing more work."

Heh, heh...whine away, you apologists for multi-national corporate capitalism, unless, of course, you have a strong position in oil equities.

They've got us by the shorts (no pun intended), and until there is a viable form of alternative energy, hold on to your wallets...or sell your boats and autos and get used to heating your homes with wood. Think it's gonna get any better? NOT.

Tony

pcrussell50 posted 04-13-2011 06:04 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
Every time there is a thread about high fuel prices, invariably some of those either tolerant or ignorant of the reason for the high prices, post up about how they just "belly up and pay" anyway, and have a good time on the water for it. This reminds me of how fortunate those of us who can afford to do that are, because for each step up in fuel price, there are many more of us who cannot just "belly up" and do it. For those folks, a stepup in fuel price puts them on the sidelines, and I am saddened for them. Our world is poorer, not richer, when high fuel costs, or the high cost of liability that gets rolled into products we buy, leave good, hard working, worthy people on the sidelines.

I am reminded of this even more, when I travel abroad to prosperous democracies such as France and Israel, (not singling those out, just keeping it short and sweet), when I cruise the marinas there and observe the socioeconomic circumstances required to own/operate even modest skiffs. I dock-walk the cute marinas of the French Riviera several times a year, and each time, I thank GOD I am not stuck living there until I become too old to partake of recreational pursuits that involve motors... because even though I am in a profession that continually makes the list for highest paying professions, I am not sure I could afford to be a boater in France. And each move we make in this country to go in that direction sickens me a little more. The funny thing is, most of the push towards a more European economic structure in this country, comes from folks who operate under the guise of being against the rich, and for the little guy. What disingenuous, two-faced sheisters.

We've been through the whys and wherefores of oil prices and alternate fuels again and again. The only thing we have observed is that the price of oil is speculative in nature, and speculators scare easily. When either the credible threat of drilling arises, or new discoveries that threaten to increase supply show up, the speculators cut and run, and prices plummet.

-Peter

pcrussell50 posted 04-13-2011 06:12 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
After costs are factored in, oiloco's make less on a gallon of gas than government does in taxes on that gallon. At least they did, before prices doubled. All big oilco's make about 10% margin, based on the cost of crude. Crude goes up, net profit to oilco's goes up too. But it's still about 10% of the cost of crude. I wonder what the margin of Apple computer is? Think it's anywhere near as low as 10%? Are they under scrutiny for obscene profit taking? I've got a bridge in Brooklyn I'm willing to sell you for cheap.

-Peter

elaelap posted 04-13-2011 06:48 PM ET (US)     Profile for elaelap  Send Email to elaelap     
Hey Peter, I also spend a substantial amount of time in Europe, and I check out the boats wherever I go. Pretty nice (not to say obnoxious) stuff on the French Riviera, which reminds me of some of the huge yachts in Newport (both west coast & east), LA, NYC, Lauderdale, etc. I find more modest recreational motorboats, like those of most members of this forum, in constant use wherever I go -- Spain, France, the Benelux nations, Italy & Greece, the UK, etc. Yeah, fuel costs are higher over there, but other costs for "middle-class" boaters -- education, wages, paid vacation time, health care, retirement income -- more than make up for it in many European countries.

Different strokes, etc. I think you would do quite well boating in Europe. I know that many European members of this forum enthusiastically run Boston Whaler motorboats which make me drool with envy.

Tony

JMARTIN posted 04-13-2011 06:52 PM ET (US)     Profile for JMARTIN  Send Email to JMARTIN     
I played "oil future speculator" this year, and filled up in October when gasoline was 3 bucks. Actually, I am a full tank guy so I do it every year.

To save fuel, I use my kicker in no wake zones. When leaving the dock, I start up the main and let it warm up a bit. Then I shut the main off and run out on the kicker. I want the main all ready to go in case something goes wrong and I need the power of the main quickly. This technique also lets me know that the kicker is functioning properly in case something happens to the main motor and I need the kicker.

Personally, I think today's price is this years high. Demand is down and the Mideast seems to be calming down. Hopefully prices will come down by summer.

John

contender posted 04-13-2011 06:56 PM ET (US)     Profile for contender  Send Email to contender     
Did not Obama just give a corporation in Brazil 3 Billion dollars for oil exploration (he wanted to give then 10 billion) The company part owner is George Soros, he wished them luck in any and all drilling on and offshore.... Whats wrong with this picture...?
tjxtreme posted 04-13-2011 08:03 PM ET (US)     Profile for tjxtreme    
It was the Import-Export bank that gave the loan. Anyone who has investments probably has some ownership of oil companies. It was a loan to buy American-made oil industry goods. Apparently China gave them $10 billion. It is the 10th largest oil reserve in the world. Deepwater drilling in the GOM requires large subsidies to be profitable... sound familiar?

http://www.factcheck.org/2009/09/bogus-brazilian-oil-claims/
http://blogs.forbes.com/kenrapoza/2011/03/17/ dispelling-the-petrobras-loan-myth-as-obama-heads-to-rio/

kb5xg posted 04-13-2011 08:06 PM ET (US)     Profile for kb5xg  Send Email to kb5xg     
I live in an oil producing state. But our main production now is natural gas. Our state is building CNG stations in all part of the state and have incentives to people who will switch their vechicle to CNG. Compressed Natural Gas burns much cleaner than gasoline, diesel, or kerosine. There is not a large group of people who have CNG auto's I think it costs about 1500.00 to modify your vechicle to run on CNG. Many fleet users are changing, school buses, delivery trucks, city buses etc. The energy from CNG is less than gasoline so it requires more of it but it is quite a bit cheaper than Gasoline. In a recent trip across Oklahoma, I live in the NE corner to Albuerque, NM I noticed very large wind farms, those with 100 ft long blades (est) and also a large increase in drilling activity from double and triple stack rigs, (mainly used for the deep natural gas wells in western Oklahoma).
kwik_wurk posted 04-13-2011 08:29 PM ET (US)     Profile for kwik_wurk  Send Email to kwik_wurk     
Yes the price of gas stinks, because it hurts in a lot of places. And while it limits recreational boating, imagine if your business suffered because gas prices.

Being a boater in the Riviera is like owning a boat in New York (proper) or Boston (proper). Everyone wants to have their boat, or at least stop in for a visit. The price of gas, is comparable though. On the water prices have a similar mark-up to the US when compared to what prices are on the streets. (The major difference, petro is just more expensive in general across the west European continent.) But owning a boat in Normandy or elsewhere isn't cost prohibitive.

And yes the deep-well sites off of Brazil are huge, and worthy of US investments.

Russ 13 posted 04-13-2011 11:24 PM ET (US)     Profile for Russ 13  Send Email to Russ 13     
TJ Our great government gives subsidies to many different industries....Sugar, Corn, Bio fuel from algei, Farming....
The list would fill up the page....
Here are some facts:
There are THOUSANDS of American jobs presently lost due to the CURRENT no drilling policy in the Gulf of Mexico.
That's right, even though the "Drilling Moretorium" has been lifted, the "new" monitoring agency, same as the old one with a new name, is NOT issueing any deep water drilling permits. No Permit....No Drilling.
The government agency that signed off on the faulty blow-out-protector, that caused the terrible spill, now states that MORE regulation is needed to drill safely.
The oil industry IS highly regulated, but regulations don't work, if not enforced.
Stay tuned for another expensive survey, paid for
by the taxpayer, as more jobs head overseas.
When oil companies are allowed to drill here, they pay royalies, and fees to "lease" the grid they are drilling on. Not to mention the Government's TAX on hiway fuel.
Our government IS sending money to help Brazil drill for oil.
As we continue to purchase oil from foreign countrys.....
The price will continue to increase...
WT posted 04-14-2011 02:23 AM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
It doesn't make any sense.

I may be totally wrong but I don't think we have as much oil around the USA as we are leading people to believe.

If we really had a ton of untapped oil, why are we buying oil from Canada, Mexico and the Middle East? Why are we diluting our gasoline with ethanol?

If you had a farm that could produced corn, would you buy corn from other countries? No

I hope I'm wrong about our oil situation. If I'm right, gasoline prices are going to go a lot higher.

Warren


Russ 13 posted 04-14-2011 08:21 AM ET (US)     Profile for Russ 13  Send Email to Russ 13     
Warren you are correct....it does not make any sense.
And there are vast quantities of oil below the Gulf of Mexico.
....
With the increase in fuel prices, it will be interresting to see how the marine industry is affected.
2manyboats posted 04-14-2011 08:22 AM ET (US)     Profile for 2manyboats  Send Email to 2manyboats     
We do have a lot of oil, but the easy to get to is long since gone. Jed Clampett only had to shoot a hole in the ground to get his oil, now it is much harder and expensive.
Maybe obama will make gas a right like health care and the government will give us gas for free.
themclos posted 04-14-2011 08:56 AM ET (US)     Profile for themclos  Send Email to themclos     
The price of gas has never factored into the amount of boating I do in a particular year. Time is the most valuable commodity in our household and, I suspect, in many of your households as well. The amount of boating I do is decided by the amount of free time in my schedule, and the schedule of my family.

Now, I have owned a 13 foot Whaler, a 17 foot Whaler, and now a 22 Whaler, so my experience is with boats that are fairly economical to run.

But I love boating and being on the water, and there is cost involved with everything we decide to do.

I can afford to own and operate a 22 foot Whaler. I might not be able to afford to own and operate a 32 foot Whaler, but the price of gas is only one small component of that analysis.

To answer the question - I think gas prices are too high.

Dan

pcrussell50 posted 04-14-2011 12:01 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
Warren sez:
quote:
If we really had a ton of untapped oil, why are we buying oil from Canada, Mexico and the Middle East? Why are we diluting our gasoline with ethanol?

Er... because our largest known reserves of oil that is still easy to access have been placed off limits?

In a twisted sense, you're right, Warren. If we are prevented by law from obtaining the oil we know we have, it is effectively as if we don't have any oil, and we must obviously seek it elsewhere.

As to your second question, the one about ethanol, since such action cannot in any way be justified by science or economics, the only remaining plausibility is crooked politics... which also happens to be the case in your first question.

-Peter

Buckda posted 04-14-2011 01:12 PM ET (US)     Profile for Buckda  Send Email to Buckda     
One thing to keep in mind in the "how much oil do we have" debate is the difference between "proven" reserves (of which the US has about 22.3 billion barrels, according to the Department of Energy figures for 2009) and "estimated" reserves, which may be as high as 134 billion barrels for the US.

Estimated reserves are based on educated guesses, using data from Geological surveys, studies and other methods. There are many countries that have very low "proven" reserves but may be sitting on top of a lot more oil than previously thought.

If you believe the government of Venezuela (I take everything they claim with a big lump of salt), their proven reserves just recently jumped to 297 billion barrels (surpassing the potentially already inflated figure of 267 billion barrels claimed by the Saudis).

There is more oil to be found and extracted. But that doesn't mean we shouldn't be working intently on finding other energy solutions, and preparing our economies for a more diverse list of sources of energy.

I believe that the current high cost of gasoline is due largely to two big factors: 1) speculative trading of oil by people who have no intention of using the oil they purchase, and 2)near-sighted policies and legislation that has limited expansion of refinery capacity in this country. Of course, there are many other factors.

The positive by-product of this pain is that I'm sure it has entrepreneurs and inventors up at night working on viable alternatives. That much energy directed at alternatives - even if it doesn't provide a direct solution - will generate new products, ideas and even industries (perhaps related to energy production, perhaps not). Afterall, we wouldn't have velcro without the Space program.

Good luck and godspeed to our inventors and entrepreneurs - may you find a solution and make your billion dollars very soon, so our antique boat hobby can continue.

pcrussell50 posted 04-14-2011 01:25 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
quote:
I believe that the current high cost of gasoline is due largely to two big factors: 1) speculative trading of oil by people who have no intention of using the oil they purchase, and 2)near-sighted policies and legislation that has limited expansion of refinery capacity in this country. Of course, there are many other factors.

You your first two reasons for the high prices are pretty much it. The "many other reasons are so small as to be insignificant". I have lumped boutique blending, another crminally corrupt, colossal political power grab, in with the second item you listed.

-Peter

JMARTIN posted 04-14-2011 01:32 PM ET (US)     Profile for JMARTIN  Send Email to JMARTIN     
kb5xg,
About your comment "Our state is building CNG stations in all part of the state and have incentives to people who will switch their vehicle to CNG."

It sounds your State is getting into the fueling business and using public funding to convert customers to CNG. Do you have to be a Public Utility or Government agency to sell natural gas in your State? Are they using public funding to build these stations also?

When I Google CNG in Washington State I get the Puget Sound Clean City Coalition which is a member of a national organization. According to their website they are a public/private company. I wonder if I can become a member of the private part and sell CNG at my stations and be able to set my own selling price? I know for a fact that I will only have one source for the natural gas. For the gasoline and Diesel I purchase now for resell, I have the choice of 7 different suppliers.

I can see potential problems if the private sector is locked out or priced out of the CNG market. Jeepers, I can see potential problems with electric cars also if there is only one supplier of electricity so only this supplier builds recharging stations and uses public funding to build them.

Tony thinks the multi-national corporate capitalist have us by the shorts, and I agree with him, but at least there is more than one of them. One of the problems with big oil is the lack of competition since the FTC allowed all the oil company mergers. Less competition, higher prices, where else can you go to get fuel?

There will be no competition if your State is extremely successful in this project. That concerns me.

John

WT posted 04-14-2011 11:43 PM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
Buckda writes:

"One thing to keep in mind in the "how much oil do we have" debate is the difference between "proven" reserves (of which the US has about 22.3 billion barrels, according to the Department of Energy figures for 2009) and "estimated" reserves, which may be as high as 134 billion barrels for the US."

The United States of America uses 7 billion barrels per year. We could use all our 22.3 billion "proven" barrels in about 3 years. :-O

http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/ene_oil_con-energy-oil-consumption

This article below is dated 2000 but interesting reading nonetheless.

http://maps.unomaha.edu/peterson/funda/sidebar/oilconsumption.html

Good luck to us all.


Warren

pcrussell50 posted 04-15-2011 03:32 AM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
Well then, since we import about 65% of our oil, does that mean our proven reserves will be all depleted in say, 9 years? Color me skeptical.

-Peter

pcrussell50 posted 04-15-2011 12:04 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
And another question: Are the proven reserves only in areas where drilling has not been blocked for political expediency?

-Peter

jimh posted 04-16-2011 12:17 PM ET (US)     Profile for jimh  Send Email to jimh     
In 2008 the cost to buy fuel for my boat rose to $5.76-per-gallon, and I continued to use my boat. Since then the cost to buy fuel decreased to below $2.50-per-gallon.

My use of my boat is not directly proportional to the cost of fuel. I have limited opportunity to use my boat, so I tend to use the boat when I have the opportunity without regard to the cost of fuel. If the cost of fuel rose above $6-per-gallon I would anticipate that my use of gasoline fuel would tend to be reduced.

I have already invested in new gasoline engines which are more efficient than the ones they replaced, both in my boat and car. As a result my use of gasoline has decreased somewhat. In my car I increased my fuel efficiency about 20-percent, and in my boat I increased fuel efficiency about 50-percent.

If every U.S. citizens tooks steps to increase the efficiency of their fuel use as I have, the total fuel consumption in the United States should tend to decline.

pcrussell50 posted 04-16-2011 01:24 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
It's not foreign oil per se. Its speculation in crude futures. Speculators respond in a lively andpredictable fashion to supply and demand. Just like last time prices plummeted, a credible threat of increasing supply will scare the speculators into a selloff. Always has, always will. Bush did it when he threatened to open ANWR, to cite a recent example.

There are also seasonal spikes associated with the switchover from winter blend to summer blend, a system that is tainted by crooked politics and and "me too'ism".

-Peter

pcrussell50 posted 04-16-2011 01:32 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
To answer you question, there is no specific price that will cause folks to say, "enough!"

I suspect it's like a weightlifting contest. As weight is added, little by little, contestants begin to drop out. If it were I, Id begin by using my boats less. Then Id probably sell them. Next I might sell my bigger cars and buy smaller ones, (I ALWAYS buy used), and on down the line, making incremental cuts as I can. I suspect most of us would ratchet down our economic activities in a similar fashion.

-Peter

macfam posted 04-16-2011 01:42 PM ET (US)     Profile for macfam  Send Email to macfam     
Posted yesaterday, 4/15/11 East Marine, Falmouth Harbor, Cape Cod

87 Octane $4.20/gal
89 Octane $4.30/gal
93 Octane $4.40/gal

Diesel(Valvtect) $3.90/gal

www.eastmarine.com

WT posted 04-16-2011 03:32 PM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
4/16/2011

Gasoline $5.35/gallon
Diesel $5.10/gallon

Gashouse Cove Marina, San Francisco, CA

http://citysf.com/fueldock.htm

Warren

pcrussell50 posted 04-16-2011 04:14 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
More than a dollar higher in CA... our number 3 oil producing state, also has refineries. Cape Cod, ummm... not so much. Whenver something doesn't pass the smell test, crooked politics are somewhere nearby.

-Peter

deepwater posted 04-16-2011 04:33 PM ET (US)     Profile for deepwater  Send Email to deepwater     
Its sad to say as long as we buy it they will raise the price,,Cut the yard a bit higher make fewer short trips and walk more,,Yes it hurts everyone when we don't go out but not as much if you make one trip do the work of many,,If you forgot to buy something than wait till next week and get it,,try slowing your lives down a notch
pcrussell50 posted 04-16-2011 05:20 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
By the way I'm posting from Santa Barbara earth day, lest anyone jump to conclusions about my political leanings. Its scorching hot, and there's no place I'd rather be than out on my boat. But I never miss earth day, and I can go boating any time. After this, I might motor around to my local surf break, and paddle into the lineup from the outside. The round trip wont be much more than a gallon out of the 90hp motor, so I can afford it.

-Peter

renoduckman posted 04-16-2011 07:25 PM ET (US)     Profile for renoduckman  Send Email to renoduckman     
Well i have had enough now! Its gotten out of hand. Gas is way to high and i can only guess what the diesel fuel price is doing to the trucking industry! Now i agree that every one has a different breaking point. There is no magic number to the price. It is a question of value i guess. I have to go to work but i am stopping any extra drveing i can. As much as i enjoy takeing the Whaler fishing, its just not worth the fuel cost of the boat and the truck to go catch a few small trout!
Now my boat doesnt use much fuel since i troll most of the time with a small kicker. And my truck is diesel and gets decent MPG. But i have had enough and going to do what i can to drive less.
Another thing that bothers me is the media. Back in 2007-2008 it was the presidents fault about the high fuel. Now that we have a different president they are not talking much at all about the high fuel prices. I guess it is ok now.
Jefecinco posted 04-16-2011 07:58 PM ET (US)     Profile for Jefecinco  Send Email to Jefecinco     
No matter the cost I will continue to boat unless my wife and I would have to cut back on food. Due to the ability to bring home several pounds of fish filets with the boat it's unlikely that fuel costs would increase to the point of us going hungry.

Long before the cost of food and gasoline would force me to cut back thousands of others would have their boats on blocks thus ensuring the ready availability of nice Speckled Trout and Redfish to those who are able to continue to fish.

It would amaze me if conditions got that bad. The people will tolerate a lot before taking action against their government. Having a hungry wife and or child would probably be intolerable to most of us.

Meanwhile I conserve as much energy as possible by living as though fuel will someday be unavailable. The exception to my conservation efforts is my boating. Well, almost, since I use my boat in a way that consumes the minimum of fuel consistent with getting done what I want to do.

Butch

GreatBayNH posted 04-16-2011 09:24 PM ET (US)     Profile for GreatBayNH  Send Email to GreatBayNH     
Paid $3.63 a gallon on Friday at BJ's Wholesale. Prices in NH are in the high 3.60s to high 3.70s range.

Byt a four stroke. My 90HP YamaMerc EFI sips gas.

-Seth

Sal A posted 04-17-2011 04:35 PM ET (US)     Profile for Sal A  Send Email to Sal A     
$6.66
contender posted 04-17-2011 05:45 PM ET (US)     Profile for contender  Send Email to contender     
What is sad is diesel is a by product of gas and now cost more than gas...Go figure
pcrussell50 posted 04-17-2011 07:59 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
quote:
What is sad is diesel is a by product of gas and now cost more than gas...Go figure

Diesel costing more than gasoline is another thing that doesn't pass the basic smell test... therefore it is the result of crooked politics.

The sawdust should not cost more than the lumber, in a society of honest governance.

-Peter

frontier posted 04-17-2011 08:17 PM ET (US)     Profile for frontier  Send Email to frontier     
Maybe, just maybe, we'll have some 'honest governance' and leadership in 2012.
pcrussell50 posted 04-17-2011 11:33 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
I hope so, too. But diesel was also more expensive than gasoline during at least part of Bush, so whatever ridiculous government meddling is causing this unjustifiable price inversion was something lower than the Presidential level... or maybe it was Bush. He may look like a veritable anarchist, compared to the guy we have now, but by his words and his deeds, he demonstrated no trust in the concept of self-governance, and thus, Constitution as written.

Not sure who to blame, because never having had a diesel, I have no dog in this fight, and haven't put in the effort to find someone to blame. But it still chaps me. Just as smoking bans on private property chap me... and I hate cigarette smoke. I just hate overreaching government even more.

-Peter

where2 posted 04-24-2011 02:20 AM ET (US)     Profile for where2  Send Email to where2     
The price of fuel hasn't put a dent in my boating as much as my lack of income has... Try being the sole bread winner bringing home 50% of what you used to earn, and tell me what you'd do without? The satellite dish went in 2005. I switched to eating peanut butter sandwiches for lunch at work in 2006. ANY eating out went in 2007 when my wife decided to leave her job and work on her dual master's degrees full time. My second job started in 2008 before my main job took a tail spin, slashing my wages, my hours, and enrolling me in a perverted "short time compensation" unemployment program which I've been in for 3 years now!

My slip costs are $0. (either of my whalers fit nicely on the floating lift beind my house). My storage costs are $0, because both whalers live in my backyard on trailers when they aren't on the floating lift at the dock.

As for drilling in GOM driving down the cost of fuel, good luck with that trickle down theory. Additional drilling, whether it is in Russia, Canada, GOM, or on the Arabian penisula simply means there is another barrel of oil available on the open market for the world's economies to bid the price up on. Starting drilling tomorrow doesn't change the price of oil tomorrow. It takes some time to drill through 5,000-10,000 feet of solid rock. America's problem is that we've borrowed ourself into a hole over the past several decades (fault lying squarely in the hands of BOTH political parties), and we can barely make the minimum interest payments on our debt. We might as well be paying our debts with sea shells, rather than dollars. With gold at $1500/oz, the dollar is about the same value as a random sea shell.

I need to find a new set of oars for my 15' Sport, so I can go rowing while I wait for the economy and my income to recover. We're not out of the woods yet...

WT posted 04-24-2011 03:13 AM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
It's all going to blow up at some point.

The federal government owes $14.2 trillion dollars.

The federal goverment is spending more (outlays) than it takes in (receipts).

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v665/warrent/BUDGET-2012-BUDjpeg.jpg

Please not that the federal government is expecting "receipts" (Taxes) to double in 6 years. And note that government spending (outlays) increases evey year.

Good luck to all of us, we're going to need it.

Warren

pcrussell50 posted 04-24-2011 03:21 AM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
quote:
Additional drilling, whether it is in Russia, Canada, GOM, or on the Arabian penisula simply means there is another barrel of oil available on the open market for the world's economies to bid the price up on.

If you are right, you have found the first known exception to the law of supply and demand. Color me skeptical on that one. Sorry.


quote:
Starting drilling tomorrow doesn't change the price of oil tomorrow. It takes some time to drill through 5,000-10,000 feet of solid rock.

Your quote above leads me to believe that you do not understand the nature how oil is traded. You're applying logic and reason to a something that is traded on the commodity market? LOL. It is nothing like the automobile market, or the market for replacement BW rub-rails or 3M 5200, adhesive sealant. The commodities market has NEVER responded according to laws of logic and reason. The commodities market swings even more rapidly and irrationally than the stock market. The last time gas was too high, it started plummeting in a panic-selloff, MINUTES after Bush threatened to drill in ANWR. Inside of a month, crude went from $150/bbl to $40'ish. Gas went from over $4/gal, to $1.49 in the same time frame. That is way beyond the standard deviation in an ordinarily variable market. It was a panic sell, like a stock market crash, also driven by panic. Similarly, look at what the unrest in Libya has done to the oil market. Libya's oil production is almost too small to measure in comparison to the size of the market at large. The response of the market is waaay out of proportion to reality... as usual. Until oil is no longer traded in that way, it will always be subject to the emotional swings of the commodities exchange.

-Peter

WT posted 04-24-2011 03:30 AM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
I think better after 3 heavy shots of scotch. :-)

I think gasoline prices are the least of our worries.

http://www.usdebtclock.org/

We're (federal government) taking in $2.2 trillion and spending $3.5 trillion.

So how long could we, as individuals, get away with taking in $22,000 per year but spending $35,000/year? How long before it all blows up?

Warren

WT posted 04-24-2011 04:01 AM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
I'm on a roll.

Let's says we want to pay off our $14.2 trillion debt over the next 100 years. It would mean that we have to make an annual payment of $142 billion per year at zero interest on the outstand balance.

We (democrates and republicans) had a hard time cutting just $38 billion out of our current budget a couple of weeks ago. And our budget still is running a HUGE deficit....

O.V.E.R.

Warren

WT posted 04-24-2011 04:37 AM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
My zero percent interest in the example above is not realistic. It would mean that we tell all the holders of US Treasury notes (China, Japan, Russian, widows, orphans, pension funds, retirees, etc.) that they get no more interest payments and that they will get paid off over the next one hundred years. That probably wouldn't fly.... :-)

So let's say we pay them 3% interest, $14.2 trillion at 3% interest is $426 billion plus principal payment of $142 billion or $568 billion/year.

$568 billion in interest and principal for 100 years? I suppose the interest payments go down as we pay down the debt. But it doesn't look like it can happen if we have a deficit every year.

Am I the only one that thinks of this stuff?

Warren

Russ 13 posted 04-24-2011 09:09 AM ET (US)     Profile for Russ 13  Send Email to Russ 13     
The drilling in the GOM would help to increase domestic production. This would take time, as OUR government has shut drilling OFF now for a year.
The reason the current administration only cut a small amount from the current budget: they cut funds from programs that had extra & were not using the "funding".
Now the President wants to form a comission to study WHY fuel is so expensive.??
I agree, that untill we STOP giving away $$ to other countries, create U.S. jobs for private U.S. companies & manage our own debt, the economy will continue to erode, like a piece of aluminum left in saltwater.
pcrussell50 posted 04-24-2011 12:48 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
As long as Warren was on a roll, (and that was very kind of him to work out the math for us. I knew our overspending was bad, but I hadn't put figures to it)...

People buy oil futures on the commodities exchanges, to try to make a quick buck. When enough of them do it, the price runs up, as availability comes down. This is where we are right now. Historically, a credible threat of new supply, (iow, a credible threat of drilling known reserves), has scared off the folks looking for a quick buck. They sell out in a panic, like last time.

BTW, buying crude futures in the commoditites market is not the same thing as investing in oil company stock, which is traded in the stock market.

-Peter

pcrussell50 posted 04-24-2011 01:01 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
For member where2, who used the example of the time lag between when an oilco starts drilling through thousands of feet of rock, and the time they start seeing profit from it? In my opinion, that kind of time lag effect will apply to the stock price of the oilcos, traded on the stock exchange. As stated, that is a whole different animal than trading futures in the commodities exchange, where oil itself is traded.

-Peter

WT posted 04-24-2011 01:55 PM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
The Gulf of Mexico, according to the 2009 EIA (Energy Information Agency) contains about 3.828 billion barrels of oil.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/special/gulf_of_mexico/index.cfm

The United States uses 7 billion barrels of oil per year.

So maybe the amount of oil reserves we have in the GOM is like having 2 kegs of beer at a frat house toga party?

Warren

WT posted 04-24-2011 02:40 PM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
Also, as the value of our US Dollar falls even further in value, it will cost us more US Dollars to pay for oil from Mexico, Canada, and the Middle East. Which might mean we all pay more for gasoline at the pumps.

CNBC says maybe $6/gallon this summer.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/42683030

I sure hope they are all wrong.

Warren

pcrussell50 posted 04-24-2011 02:54 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
quote:
The Gulf of Mexico, according to the 2009 EIA (Energy Information Agency) contains about 3.828 billion barrels of oil.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/special/gulf_of_mexico/index.cfm

The United States uses 7 billion barrels of oil per year.

So maybe the amount of oil reserves we have in the GOM is like having 2 kegs of beer at a frat house toga party?

Warren


pcrussell50 posted 04-24-2011 02:58 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
Sorry for the accidental post above.

quote:
The Gulf of Mexico, according to the 2009 EIA (Energy Information Agency) contains about 3.828 billion barrels of oil.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/special/gulf_of_mexico/index.cfm

The United States uses 7 billion barrels of oil per year.

So maybe the amount of oil reserves we have in the GOM is like having 2 kegs of beer at a frat house toga party?

Warren


However much oil there is in the GOM, it's enough to lure driller's from all over the world, who no doubt are thrilled to make hay with it, while we sit it out on the sidelines.

They'll probably be laughing their asses off at us when their third world safety practices cause a spill, and WE end up cleaning it up... all while getting NONE of the oil.

-Peter

swist posted 04-24-2011 03:42 PM ET (US)     Profile for swist  Send Email to swist     
I love the attitude of many of my friends that somehow we US citizens have a constitutional right to cheap gas/oil.

Everytime the price rises, sales of fuel inefficient tanks (aka cars & trucks) drops by comparison with smaller vehicles. Is this bad?

Everytime the price rises, people turn down their thermostats. Is that bad?

Everytime the price rises, more money pours into alternate fuel research. Is that bad?

I lived in a prosperous country in Western Europe for two years, and always marvelled at what they managed to squeeze out of their energy dollar. And everytime I see the per-capita consumption of fossils fuels in the US compared to elsewhere, I find it embarassing.

And soon enough the market will cycle as it always does, and we'll be buying triple-outboard boats and Ford Expeditions, because somehow it's our right to live like that.

pcrussell50 posted 04-24-2011 04:39 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
The answers to your three questions, in the order you asked them: no, no, and a qualified yes.

Yes, it's wrong to spend money on alternate fuel research if it is taxpayer money, and that alternate fuel is a known pipe dream whose energy balance fails undergraduate thermodynamics right from the start. Ethanol from corn comes to mind.

-Peter

WT posted 04-24-2011 05:42 PM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
If you believe in the theory of "peak oil", you won't mind that we are burning some ethanol in our engines.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ Peak_oil#Possible_effects_and_consequences_of_peak_oil

Warren

pcrussell50 posted 04-24-2011 06:39 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
If I did believe in peak oil, which I do not, but let's just say for the sake of argument that peak oil is legit, then there are alternatives to corn-ethanol that do not require ongoing subsidies from the public till. If corn ethanol were something like say, natural gas for cars, where the cost of switchover would eventually ammortize, I would be ok with it. But there is no end to subsidizing ethanol from corn. I also support hydrogen, which is far too expensive to make under the stunting burden of crooked politics, but... If we can ever raise our level of public ignorance about nuclear power up to say, the level of the French, we can have enough electricity to produce possibly all the hydrogen we would need, and run desalination of sea water, as a bonus freebie. If we were to raise our public's level of ignorance still further, we would press "fast integral reactors" into service, which produce very little waste, and the waste they do produce is weak, and short-lived, unlike what we do now. And oh yeah, "fast integral reactors" do not need any final push of research. They were finalized in the early 90's. The technology exists right now, today. In a not so surprising politica taint, the proliferation crybabies teamed up with the water barons, (who are scared sh*tless of desalination), to politically kill off FI reactors.

While I do NOT believe in peak oil, I DO believe in "peak public money", (I made that term up).

-Peter

WT posted 04-24-2011 07:17 PM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
I wonder why Canada, Mexico and the Middle East doesn't slow their production of oil so that the United States and other countries us up their own supplies, then sell us their oil at a higher price?

You think Japan might need some extra enery (oil) to rebuild their country?

Anytime there is a catastrophe (earthquake, hurricane, flood, acts of God) it takes energy (oil) to rebuild and clean up. And it seems like there has been more catastrophies lately.

Unlike many, I do not believe we have an endless supply of oil to tap. Expect to pay up at the pump. :-(

Warren

pcrussell50 posted 04-24-2011 07:43 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
quote:
I wonder why Canada, Mexico and the Middle East doesn't slow their production of oil so that the United States and other countries use up their own supplies, then sell us their oil at a higher price?

I wonder the same thing. And there is only one reason I can come up with why they don't try that at least against the USA.

-Peter

pcrussell50 posted 04-24-2011 07:59 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
And speaking further of finite resources, even uranium is starting to get harder to come by. If we don't change our nuclear fuel cycle to something like what the politically banned, fast integrals use, we have maybe 200 years worth of uranium. If we run out of oil before that, (which I believe will only happen through political action, placing known reserves off limits), that will place pressure on nuke power, and there will be wars over uranium, too. And the last of it will be hard to get, just like the last bit of the oil will be.

-Peter

Sal A posted 04-24-2011 08:10 PM ET (US)     Profile for Sal A  Send Email to Sal A     
WT

I think of this all day every day. That is why my humor is so warped. I wish you worked in our office out East.

WT posted 04-24-2011 08:39 PM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
Sal:

Don't get me started. I've been short the market the past 2 years... I never in my wildest dreams thought the government would manufacture so many dollars out of thin air.

I think we are past the point of no return. I can't see on a simple spreadsheet, how we (USA) is going to get out of this. Our debt is growing exponentially.

I need Toyota to break under $75. :-)

Good luck.

Warren

Waterwonderland posted 04-24-2011 11:14 PM ET (US)     Profile for Waterwonderland  Send Email to Waterwonderland     
All this talk about oil prices and no one has mentioned the 800 pound gorilla in the room, OPEC. They have enough of a monopoly to control prices by holding back production since it is not to their benefit to sell oil cheaply even though it costs them on average $15 a gallon to extract. More oil on the market threatens their leverage. When those threats occur they raise production which lowers prices and alleviates the pressure for exploration and production. Oil production costs vary widely but most are comfortable at the $70 a barrel range

Warren, much has changed in estimates of oil reserves since 2009. Oil has been harvested from the Bakken reserve for quite some time but technology (and authorization) has restricted production. New technology promises to obtain a greater portion of the 167 billion gallons of oil that the formation contains - if given the go ahead. ANWR estimates are around 10 billion gallons. Israel has just discovered billions of gallons of oil off their coast. Canadian oil reserves which include the oil sands deposits are close to 200 billion. The recent Brazilian oil discovery estimates are in the 40 billion range. The reserves of Venezuela which is second in the world, have been increasing as well. Even under the Great Lakes there are almost a half billion gallons of oil. Not to mention all the oil that is off limits on the east and west coast. There is enough oil to put pressure on OPEC, just not the will to do something about it.

While there is a great deal of oil in North America, the amount of natural gas dwarfs those numbers. If the politicians put their efforts in a promotion of (clean burning) natural gas engines instead of the loser ethanol our economy would be dramatically improved. Having driven a natural gas vehicle in a work environment I can speak of its viability.

The real problem is politicians with limited intelligence and unlimited personal agendas.

pcrussell50 posted 04-24-2011 11:32 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
quote:
OPEC. They have enough of a monopoly to control prices by holding back production since it is not to their benefit to sell oil cheaply even though it costs them on average $15 a gallon to extract. More oil on the market threatens their leverage.

Exactly right!

Being in my mid-40's I remember, when we had all kinds of other options for oil, and OPEC never could stay unified and make their attempts a price increases stick. One of them out of desperation, would always stab the others in the back and undersell the "fixed" price. Then the others would follow suit. They were a toothless tiger. Then, as political expediencies started taking more and more of our options off the table, OPEC became stronger and stronger.

-Peter

Waterwonderland posted 04-24-2011 11:50 PM ET (US)     Profile for Waterwonderland  Send Email to Waterwonderland     
Gas prices don't affect my use now but will if it jumps a couple of dollars. Since I have a 15' BW, the cost isn't so much the operation but the 250 mile trip up north to use it and the trailering if I want to explore different waters. Unlike most Whaler owners my financial resources are more limited and I am certain that there is a huge number of boaters like me that will feel the financial pinch and adjust their boating accordingly. On the plus side, we may see the prices on used boats decrease as we see the availability numbers increase. But if we don't see the US debt reduced, inflation will ensue and used prices will increase:)

To follow our national debt, go to this site:
http://www.usdebtclock.org/
The scary part is where they list the US national debt debt per person to be $46,000 and the responsibility of the US total debt per person to be $177,000. Unchecked, our children and grandchildren will be paying 80% in taxes just to pay the interest. Eventually there won't be enough money coming in to cover our debt.

The can is running out of road to be kicked down.

burning_hXc_soul posted 04-25-2011 02:44 AM ET (US)     Profile for burning_hXc_soul    
Something needs to happen, because sometime in the future we'll all be riding bicycles to work and Boston Whaler will be making kayaks and paddle boats.

What I don't understand is that with all of the meddling and foreign aid that our government pours into the Middle East and all over the world for that matter, that we could get something in return that would benefit the whole country rather than a select few, like cheap oil for instance. Over here in Iraq gas is about 50 cents a gallon, and generally all over the Middle East, its still under a dollar a gallon.

Maybe we're just waiting for everyone to run out and we'll still have some. Well the select few will still have some...

pcrussell50 posted 04-25-2011 12:06 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
quote:
Unchecked, our children and grandchildren will be paying 80% in taxes just to pay the interest. Eventually there won't be enough money coming in to cover our debt.

The can is running out of road to be kicked down.


If you have ever been or known someone who is a drug addict, it will explain a LOT about reckless spending by politicians. Nothing is more important than the next "hit". NOTHING. To a politician, that next "hit", is his re-election. And if you have nothing of substance to offer, the best thing to offer is free money from other people.

Also, as with the drug analogy, not all users are addicts, just as not all politicians are reckless spending "addicts".

-Peter

Jerry Townsend posted 04-25-2011 01:51 PM ET (US)     Profile for Jerry Townsend  Send Email to Jerry Townsend     
Many blame OPEC, the stock market or others - but the contol of our fuel costs solely rests with our "honorable legislators". But, their demonstrated legislative performance suggests they are not commensurate with being employed by the American citizens. Time to start over.

Their performance reminds me of some of Einstein's quotes - but namely: "We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them."

Indeed - time to start over. ---- Jerry/Idaho

fno posted 04-25-2011 02:09 PM ET (US)     Profile for fno  Send Email to fno     
I am going to give my 210 Outrage to someone that can better afford to put gas in it. I can't sell it for near what I paid, so why not give it to some deserving person that can afford the fuel. Thats basically what we are doing with everything else we own or earn, give it over to the rich. With all this talk about gas in your car or boat, give some thought to the ever climbing price of heating oil. That is much more the necessity compared to the car or boat. But then again, you could always burn the furniture to keep th house warm.
Waterwonderland posted 04-25-2011 02:23 PM ET (US)     Profile for Waterwonderland  Send Email to Waterwonderland     
Our EPA has just stopped Shell Oil from drilling off-shore in Alaska. The reason? An ice breaking vessel along with the oil rig may add to the greenhouse gasses which may affect the 245 residents of Kaktovik, Alaska over 70 miles away. The amount of oil at stake is 27 billion gallons. Don't tell me we don't have enough oil.
pcrussell50 posted 04-25-2011 02:32 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
70 miles? No worries. That oil won't go to waste. A foreign operator who doesn't care about greenhouse gases will get it. And we will probably give them the money to buy the Russian icebreaker and the other foreign-made, special equipment they will need.

-Peter

Jerry Townsend posted 04-25-2011 06:37 PM ET (US)     Profile for Jerry Townsend  Send Email to Jerry Townsend     
Another applicable Einstein quote: "Any intelligent fool can make thngs bigger and more complex ... It takes a touch of genius - and a lot of courage to move in the opposite direction."

And the decision regarding Shell was just pure asinine! ---- Jerry/Idaho

17 bodega posted 04-25-2011 06:43 PM ET (US)     Profile for 17 bodega  Send Email to 17 bodega     
The second repsonse to the thread was the best. Buy a sailboat. Fuel may drop in price temporarily, but long term, with the demand from China and India, coupled with OPEC policy of cutting production to produce price hikes from nations which we are not likely to become more friendly with, buying a sailboat is looking like a good idea.

Watch out for pirates!

Chuck Tribolet posted 04-25-2011 07:14 PM ET (US)     Profile for Chuck Tribolet  Send Email to Chuck Tribolet     
It's not the price that will make us say "Uncle", it's the
rate of change of price. I remember 16.9 regular in 1976.
4.19 (typical NorCal price today) was unthinkable.


Chuck

pcrussell50 posted 04-26-2011 02:58 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
Looks like the big guy is talking about ending subsidies to big oil. Good. I dislike corporate welfare... a lot. But let's not be fooled. Such action will not be helpful for lowering gas prices.

Let's pray that he has the integrity to do likewise to his pet companies too: GM, Chrysler, and the biggie, General Electric.

If some companies get to their corporate welfare and others don't, it will tell us a lot about the character of guy at the helm of this ship, (pun intended).

-Peter

frontier posted 04-26-2011 03:47 PM ET (US)     Profile for frontier  Send Email to frontier     
But look what we taxpayers are getting from our investment in GM and Chrysler : continuing poor quality, poor management and overpriced cars nobody wants or needs.

The Chevy Volt is now known as the 'Electric Edsel'.

pcrussell50 posted 04-26-2011 07:54 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
That's because at $40k AFTER subsidies, and with limited real world utility, it's nothing but glamorous accouterment for the rich man who already has a fleet of SUV's and gas guzzling sports cars, but retains a latent desire to asuage his guilt. And apparently, there aren't even very many of them.

-Peter

frontier posted 04-26-2011 08:32 PM ET (US)     Profile for frontier  Send Email to frontier     
Well said, Peter.
You nailed it!
tjxtreme posted 04-26-2011 08:33 PM ET (US)     Profile for tjxtreme    
The $40k is BEFORE the $7,500 tax credit... but your point stays the same... that thing is expensive.
frontier posted 04-26-2011 08:42 PM ET (US)     Profile for frontier  Send Email to frontier     
And the little gas motor in the Chevy Volt requires premium fuel.
What were they thinking?
JMARTIN posted 04-27-2011 01:22 PM ET (US)     Profile for JMARTIN  Send Email to JMARTIN     
Think of the cost savings if all motors were designed to run on the same octane fuel and the same octane fuel was legal to sell in every State all year long. The savings in tanks alone would be tremendous. Market manipulation with mandated seasonal blend changes would be eliminated. Pollution liability insurance and potential pollution sources would be cut by 66%.

John

pcrussell50 posted 04-27-2011 02:53 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
True, but such action would eliminate the need for probably hundreds of high-paid government bureaucrats living large off of our backs. Never happen.

-Peter

Jerry Townsend posted 04-27-2011 06:15 PM ET (US)     Profile for Jerry Townsend  Send Email to Jerry Townsend     
John - right on !! - and something I have felt for a long time.

And Peter - you are right on there too - well almost, as factoring in all of the fed and states - there thousands.

And, as I recall, there is a different tax rate on the different "grades". Less money for our "honorable legislators".

And then, there are the tanks, smaller refineries, - ET AL. !!! But as Peter states - it will never happen! ---- Jerry/Idaho

Binkster posted 04-27-2011 09:57 PM ET (US)     Profile for Binkster  Send Email to Binkster     
I agree that the Chevy Volt could be the Electric Edsel.

Hitler was the driving force behind the Volkswagen (peoples car). It certainly was a good idea. What this country needs is a benevolent dictator with good ideas that benefit the citizens. As you know Hitler was not a benevolent dictator. I don`t think there ever was one, or their ever will be. Although democracy works good on paper, I don`t think that the founders of this country ever realized that big business would strangle the citizens, and actually run the country for the benefit of the wealthy, and the politicians.

pcrussell50 posted 04-27-2011 10:12 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
Makes you wonder what things would be like if the politicians knew there was only one hit off the crack pipe, (term in office), before they go back to whatever they were doing before they got elected?

-Peter

Binkster posted 04-28-2011 10:09 AM ET (US)     Profile for Binkster  Send Email to Binkster     
Peter,
Well FDR did it three times, and while in his third term was influential in passing laws that no one else could do it more than twice, which was a good idea, although FDR was a great leader, and brought this country out of the Depression and WWII. Thing about him is that he did the right things and didn't care what the yahoos thought about it, unlike Obama who wants to be loved by everyone. I don`t think one term is enough for presidents, and continually changing leadership would be bad for the country. Most agree that senators should be limited to two terms. Now they get in there, and serve for life, if they can keep their influental supporters happy, and keep their pockets lined.
lurkynot posted 04-29-2011 07:48 PM ET (US)     Profile for lurkynot  Send Email to lurkynot     
Alternatives for the most part are a joke, period. As someone earlier put it what you pay up front and what you get in return is in no way a solution and people are catching on.

In addition to that the technology it is fair at best since the Midwest and North do not really benefit from hybrids or electric because of low temps. these batteries do not like the cold weather never have.

Methane is the wildcard however no one seems to believe it is a solution other than Pickens. He is on to something perhaps.

As for the price of oil and its products. Get used to paying because it will not get cheaper. It will skyrocket over the next decade with more 14 year olds in China than the entire population in this country - and they will eventually be driving - not to mention the demand from India and other parts of Asia.

When it comes to cheap oil/gas the good ole days are way behind us and this is something everyone in this country is going to have to get used to one way or another.

Those who have never boated and that are young enough may never own or enjoy what most of us in the last 50+ years have been fortunate enough to do.

Complaining will not do anything about it. If it does get cheaper much cheaper well lets just say most will have enough to do trying to pay bills and stay employed because of a floundering economy.

These are the realities in my opinion going forward. And as the old saying goes "if you cannot beat them join them" when it comes to the price of oil/gas buy well known companies such as Haliburton,Schlumberger, Baker Hughes,Otis anything to do with oil and oil field services.

And when you are done buying... buy more.

elaelap posted 04-30-2011 10:39 AM ET (US)     Profile for elaelap  Send Email to elaelap     
"Alternatives are for the most part a joke". Oh yeah? We're just finishing up our first year with PV panels on our roof, and PG&E actually owes US money for electricity this year, despite three miserable rainy winter months out here in Northern Califoria. And guess what...because of the combination of a Sonoma County environmental program, a California "alternatives" rebate, and federal tax laws, we're writing off almost the entire cost of the installation. Now all we've gotta do is get our hands on one of those all-electric Nissan Leafs and let the sun power our commute vehicle FOR FREE (though I'd sure hate not to be helping EXXON with its next untaxed 11 billion buck quarterly profit as gas prices blow thru the roof).

Alternatives, eventually and by definition, are the ONLY solution. It's simple logic, folks. Increasing demand, primarily from China and India, is swiftly sucking up supply and will raise prices to astronomical heights within a decade. And ultimately oil supplies are finite, so logically one must consider alternative power methods; IMO, the quicker the better. The solution? A government-funded Manhattan-Project-like drive to develop sound alternatives. If not, buy bicycle company stocks for your kids rather than EXXON.

Tony

frontier posted 04-30-2011 11:39 AM ET (US)     Profile for frontier  Send Email to frontier     
Nothing is 'Free".
Taxpayers are paying for it in one way or another.
They are taking money out of the pockets of hard working Americans to subsidize a fad.
They need that money for their families for things like food and housing.

The last picture I saw of a Nissan Leaf was on a tow truck.
Couldn't make it home because advertised distance on a charge was not true.
Cold weather use is just about impossible.
Sales of the Leaf are even worse than the Electric Edsel (Chevy Volt).
At least with the Electric Edsel you have a back up gas engine (premium gas and all).

gnr posted 04-30-2011 11:47 AM ET (US)     Profile for gnr    
I get your point Tony but it is just a tad ironic that Exxon's untaxed income is somehow different from your untaxed income.
quote:
we're writing off almost the entire cost of the installation.

So... corporations stealing from the tax paying middle class is bad but California lawyers stealing from the tax paying middle class is good?

elaelap posted 04-30-2011 12:09 PM ET (US)     Profile for elaelap  Send Email to elaelap     
You got it exactly right, gnr. Tax the relatively few very very rich 'til they squeal, make damn sure the corporations pay their fair share, and shift rebates to middle-class folks like us, especially if such rebates encourage the development of an alternative fuel economy. I realize that this is a radical idea for some (I mean, who will ever understand the reason that working folks suck up to the obscenely-wealthy in this country?), but there you are.

As to the development of alternative fuels as being a "fad", frontier...I really don't know how to respond to such a thoughtful, well-reasoned, insightful comment. As I said above, it's worked for my family so far. Let's just wait and see what happens, eh?

Tony

Waterwonderland posted 04-30-2011 12:23 PM ET (US)     Profile for Waterwonderland  Send Email to Waterwonderland     
Tony,
I am happy for you that someone else helped buy you your PV. Those would be the taxpayers by the way, not the government. So if everyone bought the panels and an electric car, things would be fine? Where will the money come from? As Margaret Thatcher once said, “The problem with socialism is that sooner or later you run out of other people's money.”

The catch with most alternative energy is that it is not, at this point in time, cost effective or practical. We have a Prius which serves us well (only cost effective after many years of use) but is impractical for many of our uses, so we also have an SUV. Higher prices help no one, unless you live in China, where they love making things cheaper with fossil fuels.

Alternative energy is not without its issues as well. Batteries are environmental headaches both in their creation and destruction. Noise pollution has actually shut down some wind facilities. Hydro can only be used in a few circumstances (and not without environmental consequences). Wind, hydro and solar have huge up front and costs that may never become cost effective.

If everyone drove electric vehicles there would not be enough electricity (or batteries) to power them. Larger electrical/hybrid vehicles will have a much greater cost to the consumer than conventional ones. We would have to build more oil, nuclear, or coal fired electrical generating plants. Charging stations would have to be built everywhere, at our expense. The government will also raise taxes on our electric bills (as Obama has promised). We would end up paying more. The biggest losers of all are the people least able to afford that transition, the poor.

I am in favor of alternative clean energy, but let technology and the free market system take us there, so we can afford the trip.

pcrussell50 posted 04-30-2011 12:42 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
quote:
You got it exactly right, gnr. Tax the relatively few very very rich 'til they squeal, make damn sure the corporations pay their fair share,

I can get on board with that... as long as your definition of the "very rich" is not the same as the President's.

As for corporate welfare? Let's do it. Let's use a fair metric to do it: start with the corps that have the highest profit/tax burden ratio, and move from there. It may take a while to get to the oilco's if we are going to do it in a fair way, but it would happen eventually... And hey, it would be the ultimate segregator of fad alt.energy schemes versus the sustainable ones, which would survive on merit.

Just give me some warning so I can unload my GE stock before it tanks.

-Peter

pcrussell50 posted 04-30-2011 12:46 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
quote:
Batteries are environmental headaches both in their creation and destruction.

Wrong. We have solved the problem with the responsible manufacture of batteries the same way we do with oil... we get countries that do not share our sense of environmental responsibility and worker safety to do make our batteries and drill our oil for us. Duh!

-Peter

lurkynot posted 04-30-2011 12:52 PM ET (US)     Profile for lurkynot  Send Email to lurkynot     
elaelap go ahead and buy your Nissan Leafs Chevy volts PV's and whatever so - called solution to the energy crisis you want. I am buying oil and cashing in - as in - before,now and in the future.

You think those are serious solutions you will be left to ashes and another half century before anything serious happens and it will be likes of China or India to bring the solution to fruition.

And from now on try not to get to emotional.

elaelap posted 04-30-2011 01:48 PM ET (US)     Profile for elaelap  Send Email to elaelap     
This is an actual quote from right above. I truly can't tell whether this guy is for real or one of the wittiest members of this forum, with this quote sorta like a CW-Colbert put-on:
__________________________________

"You think those are serious solutions you will be left to ashes and another half century before anything serious happens and it will be likes of China or India to bring the solution to fruition.

And from now on try not to get to emotional."
__________________________________

As my daughter would have said back in her pre-teen daze, "Oh my Gawd!"

I'll do my best to "try not to get emotional", lurkynot, but thanks for the advice. I must admit that I do get kinda emotional in a good way when I open my now-only-once-per-year PG&E bill and it tells me that my year's home electricity cost is zip, zero, nada, and that in fact my "fad" PV panels and the sun have provided me with totally free electricity, with some left over (that unfortunately PG&E gets to steal back here in California).

C'mon, guys. Alternatives are the answer. We've just gotta figure out the balance, and pour money that is otherwise wasted on wars and tax breaks for the filthy rich into energy R&D. For any who think that our oil addiction will lead anywhere except to the economic grave...well, I just pity you for your lack of imagination.
Some of you folks remind me of the stories I've read about the old late-nineteenth/early-twentieth century clods who insisted that automobiles and internal combustion motors had no future; that smart folks should keep investing in horse harness futures. Or, to make it more relevant to this boating forum, the early eighteenth-century stick-in-the-muds who decried Fulton's steam engine-powered ships as a mere "fad."

This nation prides itself in being a country of creative dreamers. Over the past twenty or thirty years we've seen folks like Steve Jobs and Bill Gates totally revolutionize the world with their ideas and entrepreneurial skills. I'm hoping that the world's ALTERNATIVE solution (or solutions) to a dying carbon economy is developed here at home by another Jobs or Gates; but if not, be sure of this...out of necessity it will be, somewhere.

Tony

WT posted 04-30-2011 01:52 PM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
The world has been built on the basis of cheap and plentiful oil.

We are trading beads for oil. Sooner or later our trading partners will figure out our beads ain't worth nuttin'.

If they don't take our beads anymoe, I suppose we could invade and conquer Canada, Mexico and the Middle East for their oil before China needs to.

Wars for oil? No, we're just helping promote democracy. :-)

Warren


lurkynot posted 04-30-2011 02:10 PM ET (US)     Profile for lurkynot  Send Email to lurkynot     
"C'mon, guys. Alternatives are the answer. We've just gotta figure out the balance, and pour money that is otherwise wasted on wars and tax breaks for the filthy rich into energy R&D. For any who think that our oil addiction will lead anywhere except to the economic grave...well, I just pity you for your lack of imagination.
Some of you folks remind me of the stories I've read about the old late-nineteenth/early-twentieth century clods who insisted that automobiles and internal combustion motors had no future; that smart folks should keep investing in horse harness futures. Or, to make it more relevant to this boating forum, the early eighteenth-century stick-in-the-muds who decried Fulton's steam engine-powered ships as a mere "fad."

This nation prides itself in being a country of creative dreamers. Over the past twenty or thirty years we've seen folks like Steve Jobs and Bill Gates totally revolutionize the world with their ideas and entrepreneurial skills. I'm hoping that the world's ALTERNATIVE solution (or solutions) to a dying carbon economy is developed here at home by another Jobs or Gates; but if not, be sure of this...out of necessity it will be, somewhere."


I have an idea! Lets just copy/paste your last reply and send it to Washington!

Oh wait a minute has'nt someone already said something like this before.

Well I guess it would not hurt to try again....

And since I have so much invested in one if not my favorite hobbies - boating - and would like a subsidy - real one to help pay for the only form of energy it will run on I will buy more oil/oil service companies.

In my sixth decade of life I think my bet will provide bountiful rewards much sooner than yours.

WT posted 04-30-2011 02:15 PM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
Alternatives are the answer because we have no alternative.

The problem is that we have no alternative. What can we burn in our cars and boats other than oil?

If we discover an alternative fuel source what are we going to do with our old cars and boats?

I suppose the good thing is that there will probably be less boaters on the water this coming season with the higher fuel prices. There's always a positive spin. :-)

There is not much we individuals can do about fuel prices. We're just going to have to grin and bear it.

Warren

lurkynot posted 04-30-2011 02:37 PM ET (US)     Profile for lurkynot  Send Email to lurkynot     
--------------------------------------------------------------
There is not much we individuals can do about fuel prices. We're just going to have to grin and bear it.
-------------------------------------------------------------

That is exactly why at least one of us is "joining them". I am absolutely sure that I can not beat the likes of the worlds most powerful commodity and their godd ole boy gang - the oil industry.

elaelap posted 04-30-2011 02:50 PM ET (US)     Profile for elaelap  Send Email to elaelap     
Ain't capitalism great? We've all got some chips, tiny amounts or enormous, to put on a number or two as the roulette wheel spins. Some of us will place our bets on a dying energy technology, with the hope that what occurs will be an easy, short-term profit. Others will take a more imaginative view, and hope that they've placed their chips on a future Microsoft or Apple equivalent. As I said, let's just see what happens.

Tony

Sure wish I'd have had the brains to bet big on the Silicon Valley "fad" back when I was my kids' ages...

pcrussell50 posted 04-30-2011 03:39 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
quote:
Some of you folks remind me of the stories I've read about the old late-nineteenth/early-twentieth century clods who insisted that automobiles and internal combustion motors had no future; that smart folks should keep investing in horse harness futures.

The key difference of course, being that IC engines were already viable alternatives in the market, and did not need to be either forced by law, or funded on the backs of the public. Whatever new energy that has a hope of replacing carbon fuels will have to share those same charactertics, or it will bankrupt its adherents. That said. I'm not against giving an alternate energy a little "nudge" off the proverbial dock with a little public funding. But after that, it HAS to be self-sustaining or it will be a boondoggle hat will never work. What am I missing?

-Peter

Waterwonderland posted 04-30-2011 04:00 PM ET (US)     Profile for Waterwonderland  Send Email to Waterwonderland     
Tony,
Just an FYI - your creative dreamer Steve Jobs runs his evil corporation on thirty plus percent margins.
WT posted 04-30-2011 04:18 PM ET (US)     Profile for WT  Send Email to WT     
Steve Jobs is no idiot either. Here's why it is bad to try to keep on taxing corporations. The corporations just keep all the offshore money out of the United States.

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2011/02/22/ why-apple-isnt-paying-a-dividend.aspx

So go ahead and tax the US oil companies with hoards of offshore cash. The money will just sit offshore benefitting other countries.

Warren

lurkynot posted 04-30-2011 06:52 PM ET (US)     Profile for lurkynot  Send Email to lurkynot     
______________________________________________________________

"Ain't capitalism great? We've all got some chips, tiny amounts or enormous, to put on a number or two as the roulette wheel spins. Some of us will place our bets on a dying energy technology, with the hope that what occurs will be an easy, short-term profit. Others will take a more imaginative view, and hope that they've placed their chips on a future Microsoft or Apple equivalent. As I said, let's just see what happens."

______________________________________________________________

After we copy/paste your dissertation and send it to Washington put up a copy of your resume or dossiea and we will send to Warren Buffet.

elaelap posted 04-30-2011 07:20 PM ET (US)     Profile for elaelap  Send Email to elaelap     
Thanks for that intelligent remark, lurkynot. I'm sure Warren Buffet can't wait to get a copy of my "dossiea," whatever the hell that is ;-)

Anyway...

Tony

modenacart posted 04-30-2011 08:15 PM ET (US)     Profile for modenacart  Send Email to modenacart     
The only thing that happens when you excessively taxing corporations is loss of jobs overseas and an increase in the cost of goods. Anytime cost for a business goes up, the cost of their products go up. I have no idea why the pro tax the crap out of corporations people don't understand this. I say we git rid off all taxes and just have a sales tax. Jobs would come roaring back to the US, and for the people who say it is not fair for the poor, just don't tax food and cloths.
pcrussell50 posted 04-30-2011 08:43 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
What's even more confusing is the whole notion of providing subsidies to companies that must also pay tax. Why the two way flow of money? More high paying make-work jobs for the IRS, to be sure, but why?

As an aside in a similar train of thought, why do federal government employees pay any income tax at all? Why not just pay them 39% less than they get right now and exempt them from federal income tax?

-Peter

Jerry Townsend posted 05-01-2011 04:39 PM ET (US)     Profile for Jerry Townsend  Send Email to Jerry Townsend     
Peter - same thing - more government employees. My gosh - with more government "employees" than private employees - they need more - and more - and more. Time to start over! --- Jerry/Idaho
modenacart posted 05-01-2011 05:38 PM ET (US)     Profile for modenacart  Send Email to modenacart     
The federal employee argument has been so simplified that anyone who references it should be ashamed. There are tons of over paid and underpaid employees. They really need to break pay down by disciplines.
pcrussell50 posted 05-01-2011 07:13 PM ET (US)     Profile for pcrussell50  Send Email to pcrussell50     
Actually 'cart, you're partially correct. There are NO underpaid public service emplyees unless they are slaves or indentured servants, because their employment situation, is voluntary, so far. (Though I give even money that in the next 50 years, ALL employment will be public employment, if present political trends continue). However, there are MANY overpaid federal employees in comparison to their private industry counterparts if you want to break things down by discipline. A situation that is of course, a worse than the violation of public trust, it's really a criminal misuse of public resources.

You might be saying that my views are one-sided, where the private sector should on an advantageous footing in comparison to the public sector. Ummm yes, exactly. Well it should And wouldthat it were reality.

-Peter

modenacart posted 05-01-2011 09:17 PM ET (US)     Profile for modenacart  Send Email to modenacart     
I wonder where you get your figures for all public servants being overpaid. There are plenty that do essential work that keeps vendors from completely ripping off the tax pay and keeps vendors from committing fraud with very complex and technically difficult equipment. When comparing highly skilled jobs, the benefits the federal government offer are complete crap.

I lean pretty libertarian but something I learned very quickly is the federal government does not spend near enough money on lawyers, people who write contracts and highly technical people. Hiring the right people would save billions. Try running the department of defense without very skilled technical people. We would have a hell of a lot more dead soldiers.

modenacart posted 05-01-2011 09:19 PM ET (US)     Profile for modenacart  Send Email to modenacart     
I would like to see where the 39% income tax rate comes from. The real income tax rate is about 18-19%. I have included payroll taxes with that because they are really just another name for payroll tax.
contender posted 05-01-2011 09:29 PM ET (US)     Profile for contender  Send Email to contender     
modenacart: Hiring more government employees is a problem and its more of a problem cause they hire incompetence (friends, relatives, family, quota's, politically correctness) instead of hiring the right person for the job...if there really is a job to hire for...
modenacart posted 05-01-2011 09:51 PM ET (US)     Profile for modenacart  Send Email to modenacart     
I didn't say we needed more feds. What we need is more freedom in hiring and firing so we can get rid of the crappy ones and attract the good ones. All federal workers are not politicians. A lot of them keep our aircraft flying and ships sailing to make sure our soldiers have a tactical advantage. A lot also do failure analysis to make sure the vendor is not screwing the the tax payer. If you don't have someone calling BS on the vendor they the vendor would never be at fault. You should always keep in your mind that you get what you pay for.
Binkster posted 05-01-2011 11:37 PM ET (US)     Profile for Binkster  Send Email to Binkster     
Peter, after reading your comment (that in the next 50 years, ALL employment will be public employment) I have to assume that you are a disgruntled citizen of Cuba and wish you had the connections or the courage to make the crossing to the USA.

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