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| Author | Topic: Crouch's Speed Prediction Formula |
| jimh |
[This discussion was initially part of another discussion on a different topic. The comments about Crouch's Speed Prediction Formula have been removed from that discussion and moved here.] |
| L H G |
I am beginning to think Crouch's "hull factor" should more accurately be called a "fudge factor". As a supposed constant in a formula, it flunks. For outboard powered hulls, considering today's technology, it seems we also have: Bottom paint factor It seems to me that putting all this together and calling it a "factor" (constant) makes no mathematical sense, and makes the formula not relevant. The so called "hull factor" is really nothing but a fourth variable to be solved for when the other's are known. By example, lets take the hated Bass and Walleye Boats mag shootout of the 225HP engines. On the same hull (same Crouch hull factor), the Merc 225 Opti ran 90 MPH. The Evinrude HO ran 84 MPH. Explain that. You can't, except to say the two engines have vastly different HP output, which is probably not true. So the other "factors" I mentioned above must be the reason. Crouch's hull factor is truly meaningless in his equation, and an inaccurate, deceiving misrepresentation regarding modern day outboard engine performance on a given boat. It really is not a "constant" but rather a variable fudge factor, even with identical boat hulls. The installation of these twin 300 Mercs on the Temptation, with Whaler Drive transom bracket, brings it all into perspective. |
| jimh |
Larry--If I understand you, what has just happened is that from looking at a picture of a boat that has yet to hit the water and about which we have yet to hear a single report of its performance, you have proved that Crouch's performance prediction formula is wrong. That is quite a long leap of faith for me, so, if you will forgive me, I am not ready to abandon naval architect George Crouch's speed prediction formula for moderate planing hull boats. |
| jimh |
I will have to do some research on this, but I think that you should not blame Crouch for the term "hull factor." Probably you should blame me. Crouch just calls this term "a constant" which is dependent on the particular boat. The "constant" collects all the characteristics of a particular boat or hull, which include all influences except for weight and power. Crouch's formula does an excellent job of predicting speed for a given horsepower and weight once you have determined the appropriate constant for your boat. Crouch has never provided guidance for how to develop a "constant" for a boat by analysis of the many items Larry mentions (such as bottom paint, engine mounting height, propeller, gearcase, jackplate, or bracket). Crouch simply gave some guidelines for very general categories of boats. If a method or formula exists for predicting boat speed by using the factors Larry mentions, it is unknown to me. Crouch has never made a claim that he has provided this type of analysis, so to find fault with Crouch on that basis seems inappropriate. The estimate of boat speed which is provided by Crouch's work is very useful. I don't see any reason to abandon it or to ridicule it (such as by calling it a "fudge factor"), without being able to offer anything better. The "constant" just accumulates all other influences except for weight and horsepower. As we know, there are many influences on boat speed. As I like to point out, very simple changes in hull fairness, hull stiffness, and engine mounting height can produce much more significant improvements in speed than slight differences in horsepower. (This was demonstrated in Bass & Walleye Boat Magazine's project boat series last year.) |
| L H G |
First of all regarding the Crouch formula, based on what I have presented, I would agree the term "hull factor", based on modern knowledge and rigging practice regarding outboard powered boats, is the wrong term. Peter correctly pointed this out when he basically said "raise the engines two bolts holes and you will get a higher hull factor." What in the world does that have to do with boat hull? Exactly nothing. In this scenario, which is commonly done around here, the hull remains the same, but ENGINE GEARCASE DRAG IS REDUCED. So the term "hull factor constant" is mathematically flawed. But so is Crouch's use of the word "constant". He may be a Naval Architect, but from my "Building" Architect and Structural Engineering perspective, he clearly doesn't know what a mathematical constant is. When you want to know the area or circumference of a circle you use a true "constant". His is no such thing. In his formula, for correct results, you have to SOLVE for the constant. What? Then it's not a constant. It's a 4th variable in his formula. If you know speed, weight and published HP, you can solve for a GIVEN, RIGGED, BOAT'S individual constant. That's not my idea of a mathematical constant. Nor is the bare hull configuration the only force acting on the correct prediction of speed, as I have mentioned above. So based on all of this, the formula is of marginal value and accuracy in my opinion. Yes, you can solve for the missing variable (hull constant) on YOUR RIG, but that's about it. The next guy's same hull rig will most likely be different. Put another brand engine on it, install it a different height, use a different prop and more modern gear case, etc, and your "hull constant" becomes meaningless as an accurate predictor of anything, even on your own boat. |
| jimh |
Larry--I have to disagree with just about everything you've said about Crouch. Crouch has given us a simple approximation for predicting boat speed based on two variables: weight and power. These are the variables and the other factors involved in this calculation are aggregated into a constant. A constant is just that, a constant value. In Crouch's formula there is no variable for influences other than horsepower and weight. Everything else which effects boat speed has been turned into a simple constant. The usefulness of Crouch's formula may not extend to boats operating at very high speeds, say over 60-MPH, or in the case of boats which undergo a dramatic transition from planing mode to very high speed mode where barely any hull is in the water. In those situations the influence of the hull changes, as at very high speeds not much of the hull will be left in the water. So it is natural that a "hull factor" or constant based on much greater immersion of the hull will not remain accurate when no hull is left in the water. Before I can accept Larry's conclusion that this formula "is of marginal value and accuracy" it would be necessary for me to have something better to consider. In the absence of anything else which can predict boat performance, it is hard for me to discard Crouch's work. If you want to throw Crouch overboard, you need to have something to replace it. If someone has developed a speed prediction formula which will take into consideration multiple factors, such as: --bottom paint please be so kind as to contribute this information. Until someone has such a speed prediction formula, I will be glad that Crouch gave us his insight into what affects boat speed, and I will take advantage of it in making speed predictions. It seems to work for naval architects. |
| Jerry Townsend |
Jim - My comments for your consideration. While I have not used Crouch's formula, I speak only after reading the above words and from an engineering viewpoint. Sight unseen, I would be hard pressed to come up with a model of a boat's performance without knowing EVERYTHING - not only the most obvious parameters like weight, horsepower, et al. - but also, the wetted perimeter, the frontal area, the surface roughness, the wind velocity and direction (relative to the boat's travel), the angle of attack, prop thrust axis, water conditions, et al. In short, not knowing all of those parameters, I could not produce a viable prediction model. Larry addreses a point regarding a constant - which is apparently back calculated from a trial run. Such a constant will be applicable for ONLY that given condition - that boat, that loading, that speed, that engine attitude and speed, that water condition, that wind (velocity and relative direcction), et al. Perhaps a better word for that "constant" wwould be "specific form factor". And I would bet you a steak dinner that no-one will fullfill your request: If someone has developed a speed prediction formula which will take into consideration multiple factors, such as: --bottom paint please be so kind as to contribute this information.
But, Crouch is apparently very knowledgable - and if his equation works for you, use it, but realize it's limitations. ----- Jerry/Idaho |
| jimh |
If Crouch's formula fails at 70-MPH, it hardly affects one Boston Whaler boat in 500,000. That is a rather low incidence of error; it's good enough for me. |
| Richard Quinlivan |
It appears that Mercury uses tables based on Crouch's formula when they recommend props for various catagories of boats and Merc engines. If you calculate the "hull factor" for your boat you can use the equation to estimate the effect of adding or subtracting HP or weight or both with good results. If you are changing props or raising your engine you are probably out of luck since. In those cases you are changing the coupling of the engine output to the water which changes the efficiency of the prop. |
| jimh |
Anyone who has any doubt about the accuracy and applicability of Crouch's speed prediction formula might want to consider this real-world data which absolutely confirms what I have been saying: Crouch's Speed Prediction formula is a very useful and reasonably accurate tool. Here is proof. Boston Whaler has excellent boat test data. I think there is no argument with the accuracy of the data--it's gathered by Boston Whaler engineers. The engines in these tests are Mercury Verado. Who could ever argue that the horsepower ratings of a Mercury Verado are not exactly as indicated on the cowling? The boat test data comes from this document: http://www.whaler.com/rec/pdfs/performance/20.pdf a test of a 225-HP and 250-HP Verado engine on a 235 CONQUEST. First we take the data from the 225-HP test: Weight = 5,245 We enter this into Crouch's Calculator to derive a hull factor constant: Hull Factor = 202.3 Now we use this data, but change the horsepower to 250, and let the calculator predict the speed. Weight = 5,245 The predicted speed is 44.2-MPH. Now we compare that with the actual test data from Boston Whaler. Their test with a 250-HP motor produced a speed of 43.9-MPH. That is a difference of 0.3-MPH , which if you figure the percentage difference, is only off by 0.6-percent. I don't know about you, but being able to predict performance with an accuracy of 0.6-percent does not exactly sound to me like something I would call a "fudge factor." Again, if anyone has a better, more accurate, and easier to use method to make a prediction of speed for a moderate planing hull boat, I would love to hear from you. Until then, I am sticking with Crouch's Speed Prediction formula. |
| jimh |
Another way to evaluate the real data versus Crouch is to use the real data to compute a hull factor constant, then compare the constants. Since the hull is the same, the constants should be the same. Here are results: For the 250-HP test at 43.9-MPH we get 201.1. For the 225-HP test at 41.9-MPH we get 202.3. The hull factors differ by only 1.2 out of 202.3, which is an error of 0.6-percent. This again confirms the accuracy and usefulness of Crouch's speed prediction formula for moderate planing hulls. |
| towboater |
Very interesting debate. But, in the end, doesnt it all boil down to OEM transom specs? Even tho these OEM transom specs may be calculated using Crouch and other Marine Engineering methods you guys are debating, the bottom line... Will the lightest engine that meets max OEM HP rating result in the most efficient performance (top speed) without regards to the hull factor(s)? mk |
| fourdfish |
If ALL other factors on the same boat are equal the lighter engine(boat) will be faster. Basic Physics! |
| Sinbad |
To L H G re Crouch's Formula Mercury Marine still uses Crouch's Formula to this day! They have modified (read "updated") it to reflect two things. The first is a conversion from knots to MPH and the second takes into consideration today's more efficient hull designs. If you are using it straight up, multiply the "Maximum Speed" number by 1.15 to get MPH. Next be aware that today's hull coefficient are a little better (read higher) due to the advancement of technology and design that has taken place since his heyday designing "Gold Cup" racers, and winning, in the 20's and 30's for Dodge, (Yeah, they boats too!), and Chris Craft. But just because you have a newer boat that is still basically a runabout, doesn't mean that you plug in a "Stepped Hydro's" coefficient. Remember there is also a drive train loss of 5-10% between the flywheel and the prop as well. Then do a speed calculation for both "Theoretical Maximum" and another one for "Prop Slip". A 300 HP engine will not spin a 28" prop at 5500 RPM with a 1.5 drive ratio unless it is in on a surf board, and you know that won't work! The idea is to use Crouch's formula along with prop formulas to zero in on where your boat fits. If Crouch's formula says your boat won't go faster than "X" MPH, it won't. If your top speed by using a prop calculator, says you can go faster than Crouch's formula says, it won't. You have entered something wrong. If you have weighed your boat accurately, and accounted for fuel, anchors, coolers, fishing gear and people, you are off to a good start. Check the numbers you get from actually running your boat with whatever engine HP, drive ratio and prop on it and study them. If your numbers are higher than calculated, you have missed something. If they are lower, which I think that they are, it points to things that need to be improved on your boat. Maybe your bottom paint or fouling is causing it to slow down. Maybe you need a tune up or a prop is not up to spec. Could be you are over or under propped. I have run calculation tests with a spreadsheet program that i made, on all kinds of boats that are in my class, and it is invariably correct. Th Max from Crouch's should always be just a few MPH faster than actual Top Speed and then you know that you have entered the data correctly. Good Luck. Here is the page that the formula from Mercury is on. Follow the links for other stuff. |
| jimh |
The calculator I have provided computes speed in MPH. You do not have to make adjustment for a conversion from nautical miles per hour for the constants given when using my calculator, as I have already performed that transformation. The work of Crouch is widely accepted and many empirical measurements have confirmed it. I don't think it is really in dispute among CONTINUOUSWAVE participants. I don't believe anyone has shown any serious deficiency in it, as it is based on the underlying physics. Attempts to dismiss it because of a myriad of other influences that may affect performance really do not hold water. |
| Backfire |
Remember that the stated horse power on the engine decal may or may not be the real figure. For all the 1883 and prior engines, horse power is a crank shaft figure +-, less mechanical gear drive losses. 1984 and up, are propshaft rated +-. Even then you have to know if ,ie the 225 is a 225 or 249 (HO)(XS), a 150 or a 165, 300 or 275+-, etc... Backfire |
| TransAm |
When I was first introduced to this speed prediction formula, I was skeptical of its ability to accurately predict speed, especially given the number of influential variables that exist for a particular hull set-up. It seems the formula works best after a test run or 2 in order to establish a baseline hull factor for a particular set up. From there, the formula works well to predict speed increases or decreases given specific changes in horsepower; all other factors remaining unchanged. I can see where boat manufacturers would benefit from a tool such as Crouch. Generally speaking, manufacturers will set up a particular hull with only a few of the many variables that may influence Crouch such as the addition of a T-top. This makes keeping a database for particular hull set ups manageable. However, the formula does appear to have limitations if multiple variables are changed such as engine height, propeller, addition or subtraction of weight or structural components, etc., and when the hulls become increasingly larger and more complex. To select a "general" hull factor for a type of boat without a base line test run at times is not terribly accurate. Boats of similar size and use may have very different hull factors. I would expect a Fountain center console would significantly outperform (in terms of speed) a Whaler Outrage of similar make-up. Overall though, I think is a useful tool, especially when used with other predictors such as the Propeller calculator. |
| sandhammaren05 |
Crouch's formula is interesting. I haven't been able to understand how to derive it from hydrodynamics. It seems to assume Stoke's law for friction (friction force linear in speed) which is surely wrong for turbulent boundary layers coming from the boat bottom. The fromula sort of 'works' in some cases and not in others (personal experience, APBA OPC speed records). An assumption is that only the weight and hp are changed, everything else remains the same. So the drag from the gearcase and prop must be the same when different motors are tried on the same boat, and the setup should be essentially the same. Why does the eqn. 'sort of work' when the assumptions behind it appear to be contradictory-? |
| jimh |
All the presentations of George Crouch's formula that I am aware of have been secondary references. I suspect that perhaps somewhere Mr. Crouch may have originally published his analysis, perhaps in a paper or proceedings of a naval architecture society, and, if one looked at that primary source, there might be more background or explanatory material given. Or perhaps in a tome on naval architecture one could find more information on it. My experience with the formula has shown it to be extremely useful, but I cannot offer an explanation of how it was derived or the underlying assumptions which were used to obtain it. |
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